How can it be? Usually sales staffs are sacked if they can´t do their
job, and it is hardly the conventional storyline we might hear from
marketing executives. Indeed, it is not what we hear from the likes of
Huawei, Haier or Yu Yuan.
They are as active as ever, looking for sales at home, and especially
overseas; and it is just the same story from the myriad of suppliers
to the likes of Foxxcon who assemble Apple´s i-family for export to
the US. Nor is such hyper-activity confined to coastal region of China
- there is unprecedented growth in goods flow along the Yangtze both
up and down stream; and the port of Shanghai is now the world´s
biggest container port shifting almost 32 million TEU last year (over
400 million tons of goods).
Yet the Western press, notably in the US, riles against the "Made in
China" labels that can be found on very many consumer goods: and we
are told they `own´ the US Treasury also. We may thus be forgiven in
thinking that China has expanded greatly without us really noticing.
It is true that the US imports a large chunk from China - about $350
billion. But that is only 2.3 per cent of its $14.5 trillion economy
- we must maintain a sense of perspective, not only in the US but
across the globe.
Further, China does own a large quantity of US Treasury debt (about
$1.14 trillion: or 7.8 per cent of $14.6 trillion US total debt);
Japan follows with $937 billion, and the UK is third in line ($397
billion).
A report from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF) in
August 2011 answers some of these questions - but they seem not to
have filtered through to the `average Joe´ or to the US President´s
office. Firstly it is true that the US takes imports from China - in
GDP terms about 2.5 per cent from China, but it imports a further 13.5
per cent from the rest of the world: in reality the US is somewhat
closed, as 88.5 per cent of consumer spending is upon goods made in
the US. Practically 2/3 of US spending are on local services, and
surprisingly (given the contrarian hype) 2/3 of US durable goods
bought are made in the US. The China label, however, is obvious on
many goods we use daily - our clothing and shoes, furniture and
household equipment.
We ought also to be careful to note that China is probably not able to
pass on its own domestic inflation since much of the content of
Chinese assembled goods comprise parts imported from other nations for
assembly in China. The FRBSF notes the iPhone in particular - costing
about $500 in the US had a production cost in China of $179 of which
only $6.50 reflected the assembly labour cost. Foxxcon, as well as
others, depend on world pricing, so their `costs´ ought to be lifted
to reflect other countries financial problems.
One of China´s problems may be its modesty. Really! Over the years
it has quietly progressed, creating the development regions (that we
despise wrongly, as noted above) and vastly extended its
infrastructure of roads, railways, waterways and airports. Of course
that has increased its resource needs, especially of energy. It has
thus become the world´s heaviest polluter. But again we must place
this in context. Its government has promised a 40 per cent reduction
in its energy intensity from 2005 levels by 2020; and it seems to have
achieved a 20 per cent reduction by 2010 even while chasing economic
growth.
It has achieved this in part through strong central pressure to remove
polluting factories and power plants substituting instead modern
efficient equipment. Those acts help circulate cash both on new
assets and labour through this processes of change, and then later in
the new production processes. China cannot do this entirely alone; it
relies on imports of technology and cooperative knowledge exchange
working within a well-conducted economic diplomacy.
What the US and other leaders in the developed world must heed is the
Chinese model of strong central government guidance pressed on its
people. Democracy is all well and good, but it allows procrastination
and an inclination to allow market forces to hold sway. Thus the US
Treasury has a heavy obligation to support their unemployed: it is
similar across most of the developed world. So why not undertake
greater dirigisme and direct firms to re-employ and get cash flowing
once more? Then we might grumble less against the successful Chinese.
Frank-Jürgen Richter is founder and chairman of Horasis, a global
business community
Horasis is a global visions community committed to enact visions for a sustainable future. (http://www.horasis.org)
For more information, please contact:
|
Communications and Public Affairs |
Horasis. The Global Visions Community |
phone: |
+41 79 305 3110 |
fax: |
+41 44 214 6502 |
e-mail: |
visions@horasis.org |
|