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2017
Asia Needs more Dialogue
Solutions to urban pollution may prove complex
Spread of ESGs could herald new global movement
Investing in quality education is imperative if India wants to reap demographic dividends
China needs to lead in new multi-stakeholder world
China’s B&R initiative leading a resurgence of Asia
Education is key - but long-term: Can we survive?
New wave of robots will be beneficial to all
China needs to continue with its ‘heavy lifting’
Time is right for Chinese firms to invest in Europe
Robots to the rescue for China?
Asian Multinationals are Going Global, But to Where?
China ratchets forward with energy efforts
China’s calm necessary for globalization push
Bridging managerial gaps involves trust-building
China well-placed to power its future through green technology advances
China's new 'springtime' is here
2016
China’s moves show it’s banking on the future
Mindset for action at the G20 summit will be determined by Chinese presidency
Chinese head-hunting intensifies for rare managers that can steer overseas firms
US talk of isolation jars with growing links in Europe and Asia
Electoral rhetoric on global trade not in sync with reality
Is it time to be prudent and consider austerity policies again?
What will we do if we have no oil?
Unlock talent by finding the right fit for a person
The benefits are real and tangible
Trade along China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’ won’t succeed without the currency of trust
Reasons for optimism about the long term
2015
Can big oil go green and win?
Poorer Nations Could Sway Climate Talks
Combating Idleness and Deprivation
How China can be a model of food sustainability for the developing world
Kyoto II – Is it a Done Deal?
A meeting of the two largest economic powers
Why China will experience a 'soft' landing
Beware of superstitions
The Elephant and Dragon move ahead
G-7 target on fossil fuels raises many questions
Why Battle for Net Neutrality in the US Matters Globally
China’s resurgence – the ‘normal new’
Wanted: A managerial culture that embraces cultural differences
China's early education plan a smart investment in the future
The New Normal for China and India
2014
China's infrastructure push offers a sure track to better growth
US-China climate pact a good start, but not quite enough
Rethink the human’s place in the ‘digital revolution’
China springs a carbon surprise
Infrastructure - the invisible hand in full view
Dialogue vital for survival of Iraqi nation
China must nurture a new generation of beautiful minds
Great expectations in China and India
GM Cereals – The Pros and Corns
Time to be Honest about Our Energy Prospects
Weathering the Storm of Climate Change
Making a Big Decision? Beware of Your Biases
West Deserves Better Logistics Infrastructure
Digital Currencies do Represent the Future
From 'Printed' Houses to Wooden Skyscrapers
It’s time to bail out our schools, not our firms
Solution to India’s housing shortage – print new ones!
And the most promising green technologies of 2014 are ...
Transport infrastructure key to domestic, export growth
Oil stopgaps: Not worth risking
2013
Why the US should grant Edward Snowden amnesty
May we be more optimistic!
China headed for another massive social experiment?
A dialogue that worked
Yes, politicians deserve vacations - because we benefit
NPOs, NGOs invaluable as creators of dialogue
Look closer and ask: Is America reinventing itself?
Boston bombings case underlines need for dialogue
Millennium Development Goals or own goals?
As usual it's about balance - and timing - of course
Chinese strategists make right moves for growth
2012
Preparing for tomorrow
Austerity or growth?
Japan in danger of becoming 'just a place to fly over'
Beware of the business cycle?
An inconvenient truth
Limited offer sale: Buy a country
Where did our money go?
Leading from behind - a year of elections is almost over
Driving towards a green future
Waiting for springtime
Preserve or Perish
Startlingly similar Asia policy for Obama, Romney
Globalisation remains an irresistible trend
Google has the edge in smartphone war
U.S. Braces for China's Rise
Mankind’s General Scourge
The summer holidays are over and nothing has changed!
Put the hidden trillions to work
Making sense of India’s woes and wonders
Storm in a teacup!
Let’s give bad bankers a venue to admit their sins
News is about depth, not puff or velocity
Booming India, but too few toilets
Delayed Court decisions doesn't mean one may continue to play 'Great Game'
We need media to reflect on data and offer public a balanced view
Big polluters can lead in forging common purpose
The weighty issue of choosing a leader
EU-India Relations - Facing similar challenges
Educating with a goal
The Judicial Malaise
We are growing out, but not growing up
EU´s retrenchment enigma
Urbulence in the Eurozone and the effect on SMEs
Skolkovo May Help Russia to Diversify
Make things more effective
Tapping into the Commonwealth connection
Innovative models for public finance
Facebook revolution but Indian style
The feel-good factor
Asian investors - a private equity opportunity
India needs to be taller and stronger
China´s low sales volume...
Nations playing leapfrog
Shafts of sunlight
What webs we weave
As performers go to Davos, the circus steals the show
Can we control the politicians?
 
2011
Europe’s reminiscence
China firms should go for win-win in overseas ventures
Of procrastination...
Making sense of profiteering
Truth about financial mess must be laid bare
Small is also beautiful
China can help Europe with debt crisis
Excising the cancer of global corruption
Education, a critical asset
Arab uprisings set in motion forces of creative destruction
A new era of change
We must ensure better education for all
Beijing wary of bankrolling a lost cause
Asean's re-emergence as a local and global leader
Why India's Role in the Global Economy is Still Work in Progress
Its the leadership, stupid!
Reverse globalisation: The new buzzword
U.S. Braces for China's Rise
By Frank-Jürgen Richter
The Moscow Times, September 16, 2012
 

With the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit recently ending in Vladivostok, nowhere in the world should the focus on the upcoming U.S. presidential election be more intense than in Asia. President Barack Obama was the only leader of a major APEC power not to attend, and Asians are surely wondering what his actions and the possible future actions of Republican candidate Mitt Romney will mean for them.

With more than 2 billion people and some of the largest economies in the world, Asia is on the brink of dramatic change, and which candidate wins in the U.S. election in November will surely have a major effect.

Both U.S. candidates believe that the most important nation to focus on is China, but just how they approach this delicate subject could have very different effects on the region. Furthermore, with President Vladimir Putin a dominant force at the APEC summit and his government strengthening its alliance with China, Russia stands at a major crossroads between the two superpowers. Romney and Obama clearly want the United States to remain the dominant nation, but is that even possible?

It is fair to say that Obama's Asia policy has not been his top focus. At the Democratic National Convention, he mentioned Asia only twice. That said, the nature of the administration's policy is clear: Maintain influence over East Asia and counterbalance a growing China.

Romney also seems to believe that the United States should maintain an influence in Asia, but he is taking a completely different approach to his policy. He sees China as the enemy.

Romney has no qualms about verbally attacking China directly, or Russia for that matter. He called Russia the "No. 1 geopolitical foe" of the United States — despite his rhetoric against China — and was promptly lampooned by Putin himself.

Strategists for Obama believe China may have an opportunity to gain influence over some nations in Asia, especially with growing economies in India, Vietnam and elsewhere. To counter this perceived threat, the administration first turned to diplomacy. Obama visited China last fall and was not greeted warmly.

Several months ago, Obama announced that 2,500 marines would be stationed at a new base in Australia by 2016. Speaking in Canberra, he said the move was to "project power and deter threats to peace." This move itself infuriated the Chinese, especially given that he did not address it during his fall visit. Romney's statements have echoed Obama's call for greater buildup in the region.

In contrast to their somewhat similar military views, Obama and Romney have starkly different approaches to the economic components of their Asia-Pacific policies. Romney wants to create a new economic partnership in Asia. The invitation to join this zone would go out to all Asian nations, including China, but their participation is not expected. Rather, this trade agreement would likely act as a way to continue the United States' sphere of influence in the region while discouraging imbalanced bilateral trade relations between China and its neighbors.

With no solution similar to Romney's, Obama stands to lose face. Compounding that issue were comments made during U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's recent visit to Beijing, where the Chinese asserted sovereignty over the South China Sea.

It seems that Romney's and Obama's positions in Asia differ crucially by their public appearance. Romney is seeking to appear tough on China with verbal attacks, while Obama is hoping to appear more open to negotiation. But the Chinese do not appreciate either side's rhetoric of the United States' planned dominance in the region.

Expect both candidates to stand strong on defense policies in Asia. Romney will be vocal about the threat posed by China, and Obama will be vocal about the potential of strengthening diplomatic relations between the two powers while engaging in very little diplomacy.

China is a rapidly changing country and is on the verge of becoming the dominant superpower in the world. Both candidates fear a loss of influence in Asia and the power of China, but they are living in a dream world. China is surely on its way to becoming the world's leading nation.

 

Frank-Jurgen Richter is chairman of Horasis, a Zurich-based independent international organization committed to enacting visions for a sustainable future.


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